Gandaar
02-15-2006, 11:07 PM
I got this in an e-mail and I wanted to share it with everyone here. It is a very long, but compelling read.
Gandaar
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
W O R L D T H R E A T - HAIM HARARI, a theoretical physicist, is the Chair, Davidson Institute
Speech by Haim Harari on War on Terror
HAIM HARARI, a theoretical physicist, is the Chair, Davidson Institute of Science Education, and Former President, from 1988 to 2001, of the Weizmann Institute of Science. During his years as President of the Institute, the Institute entered numerous new scientific fields and projects, built 47 new buildings, raised one Billion Dollars in philanthropic money, hired more than half of its current tenured Professors and became one of the highest royalty-earning academic organizations in the world.
Throughout all his adult life, Harari has made major contributions to three different fields: Particle Physics Research on the international scene, Science Education in the Israeli school system and Science Administration and Policy Making.
A View from the Eye of the Storm
Talk delivered by Haim Harari at a meeting of the International Advisory Board of a large multi-national corporation, April, 2004.
As you know, I usually provide the scientific and technological "entertainment"
in our meetings, but, on this occasion, our Chairman suggested that I present
my own personal view on events in the part of the world from which I come. I
have never been and I will never be a Government official and I have no
privileged information. My perspective is entirely based on what I see, on
what I read and on the fact that my family has lived in this region for almost
200 years. You may regard my views as those of the proverbial taxi driver,
which you are supposed to question, when you visit a country.
I could have shared with you some fascinating facts and some personal
thoughts about the Israeli-Arab conflict. However, I will touch upon it only in
passing. I prefer to devote most of my remarks to the broader picture of the
region and its place in world events. I refer to the entire area between
Pakistan and Morocco, which is predominantly Arab, predominantly Moslem,
but includes many non-Arab and also significant non-Moslem minorities.
Why do I put aside Israel and its own immediate neighborhood? Because Israel
and any problems related to it, in spite of what you might read or hear in the
world media, is not the central issue, and has never been the central issue in
the upheaval in the region. Yes, there is a 100 year-old Israeli-Arab conflict,
but it is not where the main show is. The millions who died in the Iran-Iraq
war had nothing to do with Israel. The mass murder happening right now in
Sudan, where the Arab Moslem regime is massacring its black Christian
citizens, has nothing to do with Israel. The frequent reports from Algeria
about the murders of hundreds of civilian in one village or another by other
Algerians have nothing to do with Israel. Saddam Hussein did not invade
Kuwait, endangered Saudi Arabia and butchered his own people because of
Israel. Egypt did not use poison gas against Yemen in the 60's because of
Israel. Assad the Father did not kill tens of thousands of his own citizens in
one week in El Hamma in Syria because of Israel. The Taliban control of
Afghanistan and the civil war there had nothing to do with Israel. The Libyan
blowing up of the Pan-Am flight had nothing to do with Israel, and I could go
on and on and on.
The root of the trouble is that this entire Moslem region is totally
dysfunctional, by any standard of the word, and would have been so even if
Israel would have joined the Arab league and an independent Palestine would
have existed for 100 years. The 22 member countries of the Arab league, from
Mauritania to the Gulf States, have a total population of 300 millions, larger
than the US and almost as large as the EU before its expansion. They have a
land area larger than either the US or all of Europe. These 22 countries, with
all their oil and natural resources, have a combined GDP smaller than that of
Netherlands plus Belgium and equal to half of the GDP of California alone.
Within this meager GDP, the gaps between rich and poor are beyond belief
and too many of the rich made their money not by succeeding in business,
but by being corrupt rulers. The social status of women is far below what it
was in the Western World 150 years ago. Human rights are below any
reasonable standard, in spite of the grotesque fact that Libya was elected
Chair of the UN Human Rights commission. According to a report prepared by
a committee of Arab intellectuals and published under the auspices of the
U.N., the number of books translated by the entire Arab world is much smaller
than what little Greece alone translates. The total number of scientific
publications of 300 million Arabs is less than that of 6 million Israelis. Birth
rates in the region are very high, increasing the poverty, the social gaps and
the cultural decline. And all of this is happening in a region, which only 30
years ago, was believed to be the next wealthy part of the world, and in a
Moslem area, which developed, at some point in history, one of the most
advanced cultures in the world.
It is fair to say that this creates an unprecedented breeding ground for cruel
dictators, terror networks, fanaticism, incitement, suicide murders and general
decline. It is also a fact that almost everybody in the region blames this
situation on the United States, on Israel, on Western Civilization, on Judaism
and Christianity, on anyone and anything, except themselves.
Do I say all of this with the satisfaction of someone discussing the failings of
his enemies? On the contrary, I firmly believe that the world would have been
a much better place and my own neighborhood would have been much more
pleasant and peaceful, if things were different.
I should also say a word about the millions of decent, honest, good people
who are either devout Moslems or are not very religious but grew up in
Moslem families. They are double victims of an outside world, which now
develops Islamophobia and of their own environment, which breaks their heart
by being totally dysfunctional. The problem is that the vast silent majority of
these Moslems are not part of the terror and of the incitement but they also
do not stand up against it. They become accomplices, by omission, and this
applies to political leaders, intellectuals, business people and many others.
Many of them can certainly tell right from wrong, but are afraid to express
their views.
The events of the last few years have amplified four issues, which have
always existed, but have never been as rampant as in the present upheaval in
the region. These are the four main pillars of the current World Conflict, or
perhaps we should already refer to it as "the undeclared World War III". I
have no better name for the present situation. A few more years may pass
before everybody acknowledges that it is a World War, but we are already
well into it.
The first element is the suicide murder. Suicide murders are not a new
invention but they have been made popular, if I may use this expression, only
lately. Even after September 11, it seems that most of the Western World
does not yet understand this weapon. It is a very potent psychological
weapon. Its real direct impact is relatively minor. The total number of
casualties from hundreds of suicide murders within Israel in the last three
years is much smaller than those due to car accidents.
September 11 was quantitatively much less lethal than many earthquakes.
More people die from AIDS in one day in Africa than all the Russians who died
in the hands of Chechnya-based Moslem suicide murderers since that conflict
started. Saddam killed every month more people than all those who died from
suicide murders since the Coalition occupation of Iraq. So what is all the fuss
about suicide killings? It creates headlines. It is spectacular. It is frightening.
It is a very cruel death with bodies dismembered and horrible severe lifelong
injuries to many of the wounded.
It is always shown on television in great detail. One such murder, with the
help of hysterical media coverage, can destroy the tourism industry of a
country for quite a while, as it did in Bali and in Turkey.
But the real fear comes from the undisputed fact that no defense and no
preventive measures can succeed against a determined suicide murderer.
This has not yet penetrated the thinking of the Western World. The U.S. and
Europe are constantly improving their defense against the last murder, not
the next one. We may arrange for the best airport security in the world. But if
you want to murder by suicide, you do not have to board a plane in order to
explode yourself and kill many people. Who could stop a suicide murder in the
midst of the crowded line waiting to be checked by the airport metal
detector? How about the lines to the check-in counters in a busy travel
period? Put a metal detector in front of every train station in Spain and the
terrorists will get the buses. Protect the buses and they will explode in movie
theaters, concert halls, supermarkets, shopping malls, schools and hospitals.
Put guards in front of every concert hall and there will always be a line of
people to be checked by the guards and this line will be the target, not to
speak of killing the guards themselves. You can somewhat reduce your
vulnerability by preventive and defensive measures and by strict border
controls but not eliminate it and definitely not win the war in a defensive way.
And it is a war!
What is behind the suicide murders? Money, power and cold-blooded
murderous incitement, nothing else. It has nothing to do with true fanatic
religious beliefs. No Moslem preacher has ever blown himself up. No son of an
Arab politician or religious leader has ever blown himself. No relative of anyone
influential has done it. Wouldn't you expect some of thereligious leaders to do
it themselves, or to talk their sons into doing it, if this is truly a supreme act
of religious fervor? Aren't they interested in the benefits of going to Heaven?
Instead, they send outcast women, naïve children, retarded people and young
incited hotheads. They promise them the delights, mostly sexual, of the next
world, and pay their families handsomely after the supreme act is performed
and enough innocent people are dead.
Suicide murders also have nothing to do with poverty and despair. The
poorest region in the world, by far, is Africa. It never happens there. There
are numerous desperate people in the world, in different cultures, countries
and continents. Desperation does not provide anyone with explosives,
reconnaissance and transportation. There was certainly more despair in
Saddam's Iraq then in Paul Bremmer's Iraq, and no one exploded himself. A
suicide murder is simply a horrible, vicious weapon of cruel, inhuman, cynical,
well-funded terrorists, with no regard to human life, including the life of their
fellow countrymen, but with very high regard to their own affluent well-being
and their hunger for power.
The only way to fight this new "popular" weapon is identical to the only way
in which you fight organized crime or pirates on the high seas: the offensive
way. Like in the case of organized crime, it is crucial that the forces on the
offensive be united and it is crucial to reach the top of the crime pyramid.
You cannot eliminate organized crime by arresting the little drug dealer in the
street corner. You must go after the head of the "Family".
If part of the public supports it, others tolerate it, many are afraid of it and
some try to explain it away by poverty or by a miserable childhood, organized
crime will thrive and so will terrorism. The United States understands this
now, after September 11. Russia is beginning to understand it. Turkey
understands it well. I am very much afraid that most of Europe still does not
understand it. Unfortunately, it seems that Europe will understand it only
after suicide murders will arrive in Europe in a big way. In my humble opinion,
this will definitely happen. The Spanish trains and the Istanbul bombings are
only the beginning. The unity of the Civilized World in fighting this horror is
absolutely indispensable. Until Europe wakes up, this unity will not be
achieved.
The second ingredient is words, more precisely lies. Words can be lethal.
They kill people. It is often said that politicians, diplomats and perhaps also
lawyers and business people must sometimes lie, as part of their professional
life. But the norms of politics and diplomacy are childish, in comparison with
the level of incitement and total absolute deliberate fabrications, which have
reached new heights in the region we are talking about. An incredible number
of people in the Arab world believe that September 11 never happened, or
was an American provocation or, even better, a Jewish plot.
You all remember the Iraqi Minister of Information, Mr. Mouhamad Said al-
Sahaf and his press conferences when the US forces were already inside
Baghdad. Disinformation at time of war is an accepted tactic. But to stand,
day after day, and to make such preposterous statements, known to
everybody to be lies, without even being ridiculed in your own milieu, can only
happen in this region. Mr. Sahaf eventually became a popular icon as a court
jester, but this did not stop some allegedly respectable newspapers from
giving him equal time. It also does not prevent the Western press from giving
credence, every day, even now, to similar liars. After all, if you want to be
an anti-Semite, there are subtle ways of doing it. You do not have to claim
that the holocaust never happened and that the Jewish temple in Jerusalem
never existed. But millions of Moslems are told by their leaders that this is the
case. When these same leaders make other statements, the Western media
report them as if they could be true.
It is a daily occurrence that the same people, who finance, arm and dispatch
suicide murderers, condemn the act in English in front of western TV cameras,
talking to a world audience, which even partly believes them. It is a daily
routine to hear the same leader making opposite statements in Arabic to his
people and in English to the rest of the world. Incitement by Arab TV,
accompanied by horror pictures of mutilated bodies, has become a powerful
weapon of those who lie, distort and want to destroy everything. Little
children are raised on deep hatred and on admiration of so-called martyrs, and
the Western World does not notice it because its own TV sets are mostly
tuned to soap operas and game shows. I recommend to you, even though
most of you do not understand Arabic, to watch Al Jazeera, from time to
time. You will not believe your own eyes.
But words also work in other ways, more subtle. A demonstration in Berlin,
carrying banners supporting Saddam's regime and featuring three-year old
babies dressed as suicide murderers, is defined by the press and by political
leaders as a "peace demonstration". You may support or oppose the Iraq war,
but to refer to fans of Saddam, Arafat or Bin Laden as peace activists is a bit
too much. A woman walks into an Israeli restaurant in mid-day, eats,
observes families with old people and children eating their lunch in the
adjacent tables and pays the bill. She then blows herself up, killing 20 people,
including many children, with heads and arms rolling around in the restaurant.
She is called "martyr" by several Arab leaders and "activist" by the European
press. Dignitaries condemn the act but visit her bereaved family and the
money flows.
There is a new game in town: The actual murderer is called "the military
wing", the one who pays him, equips him and sends him is now called "the
political wing" and the head of the operation is called the "spiritual leader".
There are numerous other examples of such Orwellian nomenclature, used
every day not only by terror chiefs but also by Western media. These words
are much more dangerous than many people realize. They provide an
emotional infrastructure for atrocities. It was Joseph Goebels who said that if
you repeat a lie often enough, people will believe it. He is now being
outperformed by his successors.
The third aspect is money. Huge amounts of money, which could have solved
many social problems in this dysfunctional part of the world, are channeled
into three concentric spheres supporting death and murder. In the inner circle
are the terrorists themselves. The money funds their travel, explosives,
hideouts and permanent search for soft vulnerable targets. They are
surrounded by a second wider circle of direct supporters, planners,
commanders, preachers, all of whom make a living, usually a very comfortable
living, by serving as terror infrastructure.
Finally, we find the third circle of so-called religious, educational and welfare
organizations, which actually do some good, feed the hungry and provide
some schooling, but brainwash a new generation with hatred, lies and
ignorance. This circle operates mostly through mosques, madrasas and other
religious establishments but also through inciting electronic and printed media.
It is this circle that makes sure that women remain inferior, that democracy is
unthinkable and that exposure to the outside world is minimal. It is also that
circle that leads the way in blaming everybody outside the Moslem world, for
the miseries of the region.
Figuratively speaking, this outer circle is the guardian, which makes sure that
the people look and listen inwards to the inner circle of terror and incitement,
rather than to the world outside. Some parts of this same outer circle actually
operate as a result of fear from, or blackmail by, the inner circles. The
horrifying added factor is the high birth rate.
Half of the population of the Arab world is under the age of 20, the most
receptive age to incitement, guaranteeing two more generations of blind
hatred.
Of the three circles described above, the inner circles are primarily financed
by terrorist states like Iran and Syria, until recently also by Iraq and Libya and
earlier also by some of the Communist regimes. These states, as well as the
Palestinian Authority, are the safe havens of the wholesale murder vendors.
The outer circle is largely financed by Saudi Arabia, but also by donations
from certain Moslem communities in the United States and Europe and, to a
smaller extent, by donations of European Governments to various NGO's and
by certain United Nations organizations, whose goals may be noble, but they
are infested and exploited by agents of the outer circle. The Saudi regime, of
course, will be the next victim of major terror, when the inner circle will
explode into the outer circle. The Saudis are beginning to understand it, but
they fight the inner circles, while still financing the infrastructure at the outer
circle.?
Some of the leaders of these various circles live very comfortably on their
loot. You meet their children in the best private schools in Europe, not in the
training camps of suicide murderers. The Jihad "soldiers" join packaged death
tours to Iraq and other hotspots, while some of their leaders ski in
Switzerland. Mrs. Arafat, who lives in Paris with her daughter, receives tens
of thousands Dollars per month from the allegedly bankrupt Palestinian
Authority while a typical local ringleader of the Al-Aksa brigade, reporting to
Arafat, receives only a cash payment of a couple of hundred dollars, for
performing murders at the retail level?
The fourth element of the current world conflict is the total breaking of all
laws. The civilized world believes in democracy, the rule of law, including
international law, human rights, free speech and free press, among other
liberties. There are naïve old-fashioned habits such as respecting religious
sites and symbols, not using ambulances and hospitals for acts of war,
avoiding the mutilation of dead bodies and not using children as human shields
or human bombs. Never in history, not even in the Nazi period, was there
such total disregard of all of the above as we observe now. Every student of
political science debates how you prevent an anti-democratic force from
winning a democratic election and abolishing democracy. Other aspects of a
civilized society must also have limitations. Can a policeman open fire on
someone trying to kill him?
Can a government listen to phone conversations of terrorists and drug
dealers? Does free speech protects you when you shout "fire" in a crowded
theater? Should there be death penalty, for deliberate multiple murders?
These are the old-fashioned dilemmas. But now we have an entire new set.
Do you raid a mosque, which serves as a terrorist ammunition storage? Do you
return fire, if you are attacked from a hospital? Do you storm a church taken
over by terrorists who took the priests hostages? Do you search every
ambulance after a few suicide murderers use ambulances to reach their
targets? Do you strip every woman because one pretended to be pregnant
and carried a suicide bomb on her belly? Do you shoot back at someone trying
to kill you, standing deliberately behind a group of children? Do you raid
terrorist headquarters, hidden in a mental hospital? Do you shoot an arch-
murderer who deliberately moves from one location to another, always
surrounded by children? All of these happen daily in Iraq and in the Palestinian
areas. What do you do? Well, you do not want to face the dilemma. But it
cannot be avoided.
Suppose, for the sake of discussion, that someone would openly stay in a
well-known address in Teheran, hosted by the Iranian Government and
financed by it, executing one atrocity after another in Spain or in France,
killing hundreds of innocent people, accepting responsibility for the crimes,
promising in public TV interviews to do more of the same, while the
Government of Iran issues public condemnations of his acts but continues to
host him, invite him to official functions and treat him as a great dignitary. I
leave it to you as homework to figure out what Spain or France would have
done, in such a situation.
The problem is that the civilized world is still having illusions about the rule of
law in a totally lawless environment. It is trying to play ice hockey by sending
a ballerina ice-skater into the rink or to knock out a heavyweight boxer by a
chess player. In the same way that no country has a law against cannibals
eating its prime minister, because such an act is unthinkable, international law
does not address killers shooting from hospitals, mosques and ambulances,
while being protected by their Government or society. International law does
not know how to handle someone who sends children to throw stones, stands
behind them and shoots with immunity and cannot be arrested because he is
sheltered by a Government. International law does not know how to deal with
a leader of murderers who is royally and comfortably hosted by a country,
which pretends to condemn his acts or just claims to be too weak to arrest
him. The amazing thing is that all of these crooks demand protection under
international law and define all those who attack them as war criminals, with
some Western media repeating the allegations. The good news is that all of
this is temporary, because the evolution of international law has always
adapted itself to reality. The punishment for suicide murder should be death
or arrest before the murder, not during and not after. After every world war,
the rules of international law have changed and the same will happen after
the present one. But during the twilight zone, a lot of harm can be done.
The picture I described here is not pretty. What can we do about it? In the
short run, only fight and win. In the long run ? only educate the next
generation and open it to the world. The inner circles can and must be
destroyed by force. The outer circle cannot be eliminated by force. Here
we need financial starvation of the organizing elite, more power to women,
more education, counter propaganda, boycott whenever feasible and access
to Western media, internet and the international scene. Above all, we need
a total absolute unity and determination of the civilized world against all three
circles of evil.
Allow me, for a moment, to depart from my alleged role as a taxi driver and
return to science. When you have a malignant tumor, you may remove the
tumor itself surgically. You may also starve it by preventing new blood from
reaching it from other parts of the body, thereby preventing new "supplies"
from expanding the tumor. If you want to be sure, it is best to do both.
But before you fight and win, by force or otherwise, you have to realize that
you are in a war, and this may take Europe a few more years. In order to win,
it is necessary to first eliminate the terrorist regimes, so that no Government
in the world will serve as a safe haven for these people. I do not want to
comment here on whether the American-led attack on Iraq was justified from
the point of view of weapons of mass destruction or any other pre-war
argument, but I can look at the post-war map of Western Asia. Now that
Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya are out, two and a half terrorist states remain:
Iran, Syria and Lebanon, the latter being a Syrian colony. Perhaps Sudan
should be added to the list. As a result of the conquest of Afghanistan and
Iraq, both Iran and Syria are now totally surrounded by territories unfriendly
to them. Iran is encircled by Afghanistan, by the Gulf States, Iraq and the
Moslem republics of the former Soviet Union. Syria is surrounded by Turkey,
Iraq, Jordan and Israel. This is a significant strategic change and it applies
strong pressure on the terrorist countries. It is not surprising that Iran is so
active in trying to incite a Shiite uprising in Iraq. I do not know if the
American plan was actually to encircle both Iran and Syria, but that is the
resulting situation.
In my humble opinion, the number one danger to the world today is Iran and
its regime. It definitely has ambitions to rule vast areas and to expand in all
directions. It has an ideology, which claims supremacy over Western
culture. It is ruthless. It has proven that it can execute elaborate terrorist
acts without leaving too many traces, using Iranian Embassies. It is clearly
trying to develop Nuclear Weapons. Its so-called moderates and
conservatives play their own virtuoso version of the "good-cop versus bad-
cop" game. Iran sponsors Syrian terrorism, it is certainly behind much of the
action in Iraq, it is fully funding the Hizbullah and, through it, the Palestinian
Hamas and Islamic Jihad, it performed acts of terror at least in Europe and in
South America and probably also in Uzbekistan and Saudi Arabia and it truly
leads a multi-national terror consortium, which includes, as minor players,
Syria, Lebanon and certain Shiite elements in Iraq. Nevertheless, most
European countries still trade with Iran, try to appease it and refuse to read
the clear signals.
In order to win the war it is also necessary to dry the financial resources of
the terror conglomerate. It is pointless to try to understand the subtle
differences between the Sunni terror of Al Qaida and Hamas and the Shiite
terror of Hizbullah, Sadr and other Iranian inspired enterprises. When it serves
their business needs, all of them collaborate beautifully.
It is crucial to stop Saudi and other financial support of the outer circle,
which is the fertile breeding ground of terror. It is important to monitor all
donations from the Western World to Islamic organizations, to monitor the
finances of international relief organizations and to react with forceful
economic measures to any small sign of financial aid to any of the three
circles of terrorism. It is also important to act decisively against the campaign
of lies and fabrications and to monitor those Western media who collaborate
with it out of naivety, financial interests or ignorance.
Above all, never surrender to terror. No one will ever know whether the
recent elections in Spain would have yielded a different result, if not for the
train bombings a few days earlier. But it really does not matter. What matters
is that the terrorists believe that they caused the result and that they won
by driving Spain out of Iraq. The Spanish story will surely end up being
extremely costly to other European countries, including France, who is now
expelling inciting preachers and forbidding veils and including others who sent
troops to Iraq. In the long run, Spain itself will pay even more.
Is the solution a democratic Arab world? If by democracy we mean free
elections but also free press, free speech, a functioning judicial system, civil
liberties, equality to women, free international travel, exposure to
international media and ideas, laws against racial incitement and against
defamation, and avoidance of lawless behavior regarding hospitals, places
of worship and children, then yes, democracy is the solution. If democracy is
just free elections, it is likely that the most fanatic regime will be elected, the
one whose incitement and fabrications are the most inflammatory. We have
seen it already in Algeria and, to a certain extent, in Turkey. It will happen
again, if the ground is not prepared very carefully. On the other hand, a
certain transition democracy, as in Jordan, may be a better temporary
solution, paving the way for the real thing, perhaps in the same way that an
immediate sudden democracy did not work in Russia and would not have
worked in China.
I have no doubt that the civilized world will prevail. But the longer it takes us
to understand the new landscape of this war, the more costly and painful the
victory will be. Europe, more than any other region, is the key. Its
understandable recoil from wars, following the horrors of World War II, may
cost thousands of additional innocent lives, before the tide will turn.
Gandaar
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
W O R L D T H R E A T - HAIM HARARI, a theoretical physicist, is the Chair, Davidson Institute
Speech by Haim Harari on War on Terror
HAIM HARARI, a theoretical physicist, is the Chair, Davidson Institute of Science Education, and Former President, from 1988 to 2001, of the Weizmann Institute of Science. During his years as President of the Institute, the Institute entered numerous new scientific fields and projects, built 47 new buildings, raised one Billion Dollars in philanthropic money, hired more than half of its current tenured Professors and became one of the highest royalty-earning academic organizations in the world.
Throughout all his adult life, Harari has made major contributions to three different fields: Particle Physics Research on the international scene, Science Education in the Israeli school system and Science Administration and Policy Making.
A View from the Eye of the Storm
Talk delivered by Haim Harari at a meeting of the International Advisory Board of a large multi-national corporation, April, 2004.
As you know, I usually provide the scientific and technological "entertainment"
in our meetings, but, on this occasion, our Chairman suggested that I present
my own personal view on events in the part of the world from which I come. I
have never been and I will never be a Government official and I have no
privileged information. My perspective is entirely based on what I see, on
what I read and on the fact that my family has lived in this region for almost
200 years. You may regard my views as those of the proverbial taxi driver,
which you are supposed to question, when you visit a country.
I could have shared with you some fascinating facts and some personal
thoughts about the Israeli-Arab conflict. However, I will touch upon it only in
passing. I prefer to devote most of my remarks to the broader picture of the
region and its place in world events. I refer to the entire area between
Pakistan and Morocco, which is predominantly Arab, predominantly Moslem,
but includes many non-Arab and also significant non-Moslem minorities.
Why do I put aside Israel and its own immediate neighborhood? Because Israel
and any problems related to it, in spite of what you might read or hear in the
world media, is not the central issue, and has never been the central issue in
the upheaval in the region. Yes, there is a 100 year-old Israeli-Arab conflict,
but it is not where the main show is. The millions who died in the Iran-Iraq
war had nothing to do with Israel. The mass murder happening right now in
Sudan, where the Arab Moslem regime is massacring its black Christian
citizens, has nothing to do with Israel. The frequent reports from Algeria
about the murders of hundreds of civilian in one village or another by other
Algerians have nothing to do with Israel. Saddam Hussein did not invade
Kuwait, endangered Saudi Arabia and butchered his own people because of
Israel. Egypt did not use poison gas against Yemen in the 60's because of
Israel. Assad the Father did not kill tens of thousands of his own citizens in
one week in El Hamma in Syria because of Israel. The Taliban control of
Afghanistan and the civil war there had nothing to do with Israel. The Libyan
blowing up of the Pan-Am flight had nothing to do with Israel, and I could go
on and on and on.
The root of the trouble is that this entire Moslem region is totally
dysfunctional, by any standard of the word, and would have been so even if
Israel would have joined the Arab league and an independent Palestine would
have existed for 100 years. The 22 member countries of the Arab league, from
Mauritania to the Gulf States, have a total population of 300 millions, larger
than the US and almost as large as the EU before its expansion. They have a
land area larger than either the US or all of Europe. These 22 countries, with
all their oil and natural resources, have a combined GDP smaller than that of
Netherlands plus Belgium and equal to half of the GDP of California alone.
Within this meager GDP, the gaps between rich and poor are beyond belief
and too many of the rich made their money not by succeeding in business,
but by being corrupt rulers. The social status of women is far below what it
was in the Western World 150 years ago. Human rights are below any
reasonable standard, in spite of the grotesque fact that Libya was elected
Chair of the UN Human Rights commission. According to a report prepared by
a committee of Arab intellectuals and published under the auspices of the
U.N., the number of books translated by the entire Arab world is much smaller
than what little Greece alone translates. The total number of scientific
publications of 300 million Arabs is less than that of 6 million Israelis. Birth
rates in the region are very high, increasing the poverty, the social gaps and
the cultural decline. And all of this is happening in a region, which only 30
years ago, was believed to be the next wealthy part of the world, and in a
Moslem area, which developed, at some point in history, one of the most
advanced cultures in the world.
It is fair to say that this creates an unprecedented breeding ground for cruel
dictators, terror networks, fanaticism, incitement, suicide murders and general
decline. It is also a fact that almost everybody in the region blames this
situation on the United States, on Israel, on Western Civilization, on Judaism
and Christianity, on anyone and anything, except themselves.
Do I say all of this with the satisfaction of someone discussing the failings of
his enemies? On the contrary, I firmly believe that the world would have been
a much better place and my own neighborhood would have been much more
pleasant and peaceful, if things were different.
I should also say a word about the millions of decent, honest, good people
who are either devout Moslems or are not very religious but grew up in
Moslem families. They are double victims of an outside world, which now
develops Islamophobia and of their own environment, which breaks their heart
by being totally dysfunctional. The problem is that the vast silent majority of
these Moslems are not part of the terror and of the incitement but they also
do not stand up against it. They become accomplices, by omission, and this
applies to political leaders, intellectuals, business people and many others.
Many of them can certainly tell right from wrong, but are afraid to express
their views.
The events of the last few years have amplified four issues, which have
always existed, but have never been as rampant as in the present upheaval in
the region. These are the four main pillars of the current World Conflict, or
perhaps we should already refer to it as "the undeclared World War III". I
have no better name for the present situation. A few more years may pass
before everybody acknowledges that it is a World War, but we are already
well into it.
The first element is the suicide murder. Suicide murders are not a new
invention but they have been made popular, if I may use this expression, only
lately. Even after September 11, it seems that most of the Western World
does not yet understand this weapon. It is a very potent psychological
weapon. Its real direct impact is relatively minor. The total number of
casualties from hundreds of suicide murders within Israel in the last three
years is much smaller than those due to car accidents.
September 11 was quantitatively much less lethal than many earthquakes.
More people die from AIDS in one day in Africa than all the Russians who died
in the hands of Chechnya-based Moslem suicide murderers since that conflict
started. Saddam killed every month more people than all those who died from
suicide murders since the Coalition occupation of Iraq. So what is all the fuss
about suicide killings? It creates headlines. It is spectacular. It is frightening.
It is a very cruel death with bodies dismembered and horrible severe lifelong
injuries to many of the wounded.
It is always shown on television in great detail. One such murder, with the
help of hysterical media coverage, can destroy the tourism industry of a
country for quite a while, as it did in Bali and in Turkey.
But the real fear comes from the undisputed fact that no defense and no
preventive measures can succeed against a determined suicide murderer.
This has not yet penetrated the thinking of the Western World. The U.S. and
Europe are constantly improving their defense against the last murder, not
the next one. We may arrange for the best airport security in the world. But if
you want to murder by suicide, you do not have to board a plane in order to
explode yourself and kill many people. Who could stop a suicide murder in the
midst of the crowded line waiting to be checked by the airport metal
detector? How about the lines to the check-in counters in a busy travel
period? Put a metal detector in front of every train station in Spain and the
terrorists will get the buses. Protect the buses and they will explode in movie
theaters, concert halls, supermarkets, shopping malls, schools and hospitals.
Put guards in front of every concert hall and there will always be a line of
people to be checked by the guards and this line will be the target, not to
speak of killing the guards themselves. You can somewhat reduce your
vulnerability by preventive and defensive measures and by strict border
controls but not eliminate it and definitely not win the war in a defensive way.
And it is a war!
What is behind the suicide murders? Money, power and cold-blooded
murderous incitement, nothing else. It has nothing to do with true fanatic
religious beliefs. No Moslem preacher has ever blown himself up. No son of an
Arab politician or religious leader has ever blown himself. No relative of anyone
influential has done it. Wouldn't you expect some of thereligious leaders to do
it themselves, or to talk their sons into doing it, if this is truly a supreme act
of religious fervor? Aren't they interested in the benefits of going to Heaven?
Instead, they send outcast women, naïve children, retarded people and young
incited hotheads. They promise them the delights, mostly sexual, of the next
world, and pay their families handsomely after the supreme act is performed
and enough innocent people are dead.
Suicide murders also have nothing to do with poverty and despair. The
poorest region in the world, by far, is Africa. It never happens there. There
are numerous desperate people in the world, in different cultures, countries
and continents. Desperation does not provide anyone with explosives,
reconnaissance and transportation. There was certainly more despair in
Saddam's Iraq then in Paul Bremmer's Iraq, and no one exploded himself. A
suicide murder is simply a horrible, vicious weapon of cruel, inhuman, cynical,
well-funded terrorists, with no regard to human life, including the life of their
fellow countrymen, but with very high regard to their own affluent well-being
and their hunger for power.
The only way to fight this new "popular" weapon is identical to the only way
in which you fight organized crime or pirates on the high seas: the offensive
way. Like in the case of organized crime, it is crucial that the forces on the
offensive be united and it is crucial to reach the top of the crime pyramid.
You cannot eliminate organized crime by arresting the little drug dealer in the
street corner. You must go after the head of the "Family".
If part of the public supports it, others tolerate it, many are afraid of it and
some try to explain it away by poverty or by a miserable childhood, organized
crime will thrive and so will terrorism. The United States understands this
now, after September 11. Russia is beginning to understand it. Turkey
understands it well. I am very much afraid that most of Europe still does not
understand it. Unfortunately, it seems that Europe will understand it only
after suicide murders will arrive in Europe in a big way. In my humble opinion,
this will definitely happen. The Spanish trains and the Istanbul bombings are
only the beginning. The unity of the Civilized World in fighting this horror is
absolutely indispensable. Until Europe wakes up, this unity will not be
achieved.
The second ingredient is words, more precisely lies. Words can be lethal.
They kill people. It is often said that politicians, diplomats and perhaps also
lawyers and business people must sometimes lie, as part of their professional
life. But the norms of politics and diplomacy are childish, in comparison with
the level of incitement and total absolute deliberate fabrications, which have
reached new heights in the region we are talking about. An incredible number
of people in the Arab world believe that September 11 never happened, or
was an American provocation or, even better, a Jewish plot.
You all remember the Iraqi Minister of Information, Mr. Mouhamad Said al-
Sahaf and his press conferences when the US forces were already inside
Baghdad. Disinformation at time of war is an accepted tactic. But to stand,
day after day, and to make such preposterous statements, known to
everybody to be lies, without even being ridiculed in your own milieu, can only
happen in this region. Mr. Sahaf eventually became a popular icon as a court
jester, but this did not stop some allegedly respectable newspapers from
giving him equal time. It also does not prevent the Western press from giving
credence, every day, even now, to similar liars. After all, if you want to be
an anti-Semite, there are subtle ways of doing it. You do not have to claim
that the holocaust never happened and that the Jewish temple in Jerusalem
never existed. But millions of Moslems are told by their leaders that this is the
case. When these same leaders make other statements, the Western media
report them as if they could be true.
It is a daily occurrence that the same people, who finance, arm and dispatch
suicide murderers, condemn the act in English in front of western TV cameras,
talking to a world audience, which even partly believes them. It is a daily
routine to hear the same leader making opposite statements in Arabic to his
people and in English to the rest of the world. Incitement by Arab TV,
accompanied by horror pictures of mutilated bodies, has become a powerful
weapon of those who lie, distort and want to destroy everything. Little
children are raised on deep hatred and on admiration of so-called martyrs, and
the Western World does not notice it because its own TV sets are mostly
tuned to soap operas and game shows. I recommend to you, even though
most of you do not understand Arabic, to watch Al Jazeera, from time to
time. You will not believe your own eyes.
But words also work in other ways, more subtle. A demonstration in Berlin,
carrying banners supporting Saddam's regime and featuring three-year old
babies dressed as suicide murderers, is defined by the press and by political
leaders as a "peace demonstration". You may support or oppose the Iraq war,
but to refer to fans of Saddam, Arafat or Bin Laden as peace activists is a bit
too much. A woman walks into an Israeli restaurant in mid-day, eats,
observes families with old people and children eating their lunch in the
adjacent tables and pays the bill. She then blows herself up, killing 20 people,
including many children, with heads and arms rolling around in the restaurant.
She is called "martyr" by several Arab leaders and "activist" by the European
press. Dignitaries condemn the act but visit her bereaved family and the
money flows.
There is a new game in town: The actual murderer is called "the military
wing", the one who pays him, equips him and sends him is now called "the
political wing" and the head of the operation is called the "spiritual leader".
There are numerous other examples of such Orwellian nomenclature, used
every day not only by terror chiefs but also by Western media. These words
are much more dangerous than many people realize. They provide an
emotional infrastructure for atrocities. It was Joseph Goebels who said that if
you repeat a lie often enough, people will believe it. He is now being
outperformed by his successors.
The third aspect is money. Huge amounts of money, which could have solved
many social problems in this dysfunctional part of the world, are channeled
into three concentric spheres supporting death and murder. In the inner circle
are the terrorists themselves. The money funds their travel, explosives,
hideouts and permanent search for soft vulnerable targets. They are
surrounded by a second wider circle of direct supporters, planners,
commanders, preachers, all of whom make a living, usually a very comfortable
living, by serving as terror infrastructure.
Finally, we find the third circle of so-called religious, educational and welfare
organizations, which actually do some good, feed the hungry and provide
some schooling, but brainwash a new generation with hatred, lies and
ignorance. This circle operates mostly through mosques, madrasas and other
religious establishments but also through inciting electronic and printed media.
It is this circle that makes sure that women remain inferior, that democracy is
unthinkable and that exposure to the outside world is minimal. It is also that
circle that leads the way in blaming everybody outside the Moslem world, for
the miseries of the region.
Figuratively speaking, this outer circle is the guardian, which makes sure that
the people look and listen inwards to the inner circle of terror and incitement,
rather than to the world outside. Some parts of this same outer circle actually
operate as a result of fear from, or blackmail by, the inner circles. The
horrifying added factor is the high birth rate.
Half of the population of the Arab world is under the age of 20, the most
receptive age to incitement, guaranteeing two more generations of blind
hatred.
Of the three circles described above, the inner circles are primarily financed
by terrorist states like Iran and Syria, until recently also by Iraq and Libya and
earlier also by some of the Communist regimes. These states, as well as the
Palestinian Authority, are the safe havens of the wholesale murder vendors.
The outer circle is largely financed by Saudi Arabia, but also by donations
from certain Moslem communities in the United States and Europe and, to a
smaller extent, by donations of European Governments to various NGO's and
by certain United Nations organizations, whose goals may be noble, but they
are infested and exploited by agents of the outer circle. The Saudi regime, of
course, will be the next victim of major terror, when the inner circle will
explode into the outer circle. The Saudis are beginning to understand it, but
they fight the inner circles, while still financing the infrastructure at the outer
circle.?
Some of the leaders of these various circles live very comfortably on their
loot. You meet their children in the best private schools in Europe, not in the
training camps of suicide murderers. The Jihad "soldiers" join packaged death
tours to Iraq and other hotspots, while some of their leaders ski in
Switzerland. Mrs. Arafat, who lives in Paris with her daughter, receives tens
of thousands Dollars per month from the allegedly bankrupt Palestinian
Authority while a typical local ringleader of the Al-Aksa brigade, reporting to
Arafat, receives only a cash payment of a couple of hundred dollars, for
performing murders at the retail level?
The fourth element of the current world conflict is the total breaking of all
laws. The civilized world believes in democracy, the rule of law, including
international law, human rights, free speech and free press, among other
liberties. There are naïve old-fashioned habits such as respecting religious
sites and symbols, not using ambulances and hospitals for acts of war,
avoiding the mutilation of dead bodies and not using children as human shields
or human bombs. Never in history, not even in the Nazi period, was there
such total disregard of all of the above as we observe now. Every student of
political science debates how you prevent an anti-democratic force from
winning a democratic election and abolishing democracy. Other aspects of a
civilized society must also have limitations. Can a policeman open fire on
someone trying to kill him?
Can a government listen to phone conversations of terrorists and drug
dealers? Does free speech protects you when you shout "fire" in a crowded
theater? Should there be death penalty, for deliberate multiple murders?
These are the old-fashioned dilemmas. But now we have an entire new set.
Do you raid a mosque, which serves as a terrorist ammunition storage? Do you
return fire, if you are attacked from a hospital? Do you storm a church taken
over by terrorists who took the priests hostages? Do you search every
ambulance after a few suicide murderers use ambulances to reach their
targets? Do you strip every woman because one pretended to be pregnant
and carried a suicide bomb on her belly? Do you shoot back at someone trying
to kill you, standing deliberately behind a group of children? Do you raid
terrorist headquarters, hidden in a mental hospital? Do you shoot an arch-
murderer who deliberately moves from one location to another, always
surrounded by children? All of these happen daily in Iraq and in the Palestinian
areas. What do you do? Well, you do not want to face the dilemma. But it
cannot be avoided.
Suppose, for the sake of discussion, that someone would openly stay in a
well-known address in Teheran, hosted by the Iranian Government and
financed by it, executing one atrocity after another in Spain or in France,
killing hundreds of innocent people, accepting responsibility for the crimes,
promising in public TV interviews to do more of the same, while the
Government of Iran issues public condemnations of his acts but continues to
host him, invite him to official functions and treat him as a great dignitary. I
leave it to you as homework to figure out what Spain or France would have
done, in such a situation.
The problem is that the civilized world is still having illusions about the rule of
law in a totally lawless environment. It is trying to play ice hockey by sending
a ballerina ice-skater into the rink or to knock out a heavyweight boxer by a
chess player. In the same way that no country has a law against cannibals
eating its prime minister, because such an act is unthinkable, international law
does not address killers shooting from hospitals, mosques and ambulances,
while being protected by their Government or society. International law does
not know how to handle someone who sends children to throw stones, stands
behind them and shoots with immunity and cannot be arrested because he is
sheltered by a Government. International law does not know how to deal with
a leader of murderers who is royally and comfortably hosted by a country,
which pretends to condemn his acts or just claims to be too weak to arrest
him. The amazing thing is that all of these crooks demand protection under
international law and define all those who attack them as war criminals, with
some Western media repeating the allegations. The good news is that all of
this is temporary, because the evolution of international law has always
adapted itself to reality. The punishment for suicide murder should be death
or arrest before the murder, not during and not after. After every world war,
the rules of international law have changed and the same will happen after
the present one. But during the twilight zone, a lot of harm can be done.
The picture I described here is not pretty. What can we do about it? In the
short run, only fight and win. In the long run ? only educate the next
generation and open it to the world. The inner circles can and must be
destroyed by force. The outer circle cannot be eliminated by force. Here
we need financial starvation of the organizing elite, more power to women,
more education, counter propaganda, boycott whenever feasible and access
to Western media, internet and the international scene. Above all, we need
a total absolute unity and determination of the civilized world against all three
circles of evil.
Allow me, for a moment, to depart from my alleged role as a taxi driver and
return to science. When you have a malignant tumor, you may remove the
tumor itself surgically. You may also starve it by preventing new blood from
reaching it from other parts of the body, thereby preventing new "supplies"
from expanding the tumor. If you want to be sure, it is best to do both.
But before you fight and win, by force or otherwise, you have to realize that
you are in a war, and this may take Europe a few more years. In order to win,
it is necessary to first eliminate the terrorist regimes, so that no Government
in the world will serve as a safe haven for these people. I do not want to
comment here on whether the American-led attack on Iraq was justified from
the point of view of weapons of mass destruction or any other pre-war
argument, but I can look at the post-war map of Western Asia. Now that
Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya are out, two and a half terrorist states remain:
Iran, Syria and Lebanon, the latter being a Syrian colony. Perhaps Sudan
should be added to the list. As a result of the conquest of Afghanistan and
Iraq, both Iran and Syria are now totally surrounded by territories unfriendly
to them. Iran is encircled by Afghanistan, by the Gulf States, Iraq and the
Moslem republics of the former Soviet Union. Syria is surrounded by Turkey,
Iraq, Jordan and Israel. This is a significant strategic change and it applies
strong pressure on the terrorist countries. It is not surprising that Iran is so
active in trying to incite a Shiite uprising in Iraq. I do not know if the
American plan was actually to encircle both Iran and Syria, but that is the
resulting situation.
In my humble opinion, the number one danger to the world today is Iran and
its regime. It definitely has ambitions to rule vast areas and to expand in all
directions. It has an ideology, which claims supremacy over Western
culture. It is ruthless. It has proven that it can execute elaborate terrorist
acts without leaving too many traces, using Iranian Embassies. It is clearly
trying to develop Nuclear Weapons. Its so-called moderates and
conservatives play their own virtuoso version of the "good-cop versus bad-
cop" game. Iran sponsors Syrian terrorism, it is certainly behind much of the
action in Iraq, it is fully funding the Hizbullah and, through it, the Palestinian
Hamas and Islamic Jihad, it performed acts of terror at least in Europe and in
South America and probably also in Uzbekistan and Saudi Arabia and it truly
leads a multi-national terror consortium, which includes, as minor players,
Syria, Lebanon and certain Shiite elements in Iraq. Nevertheless, most
European countries still trade with Iran, try to appease it and refuse to read
the clear signals.
In order to win the war it is also necessary to dry the financial resources of
the terror conglomerate. It is pointless to try to understand the subtle
differences between the Sunni terror of Al Qaida and Hamas and the Shiite
terror of Hizbullah, Sadr and other Iranian inspired enterprises. When it serves
their business needs, all of them collaborate beautifully.
It is crucial to stop Saudi and other financial support of the outer circle,
which is the fertile breeding ground of terror. It is important to monitor all
donations from the Western World to Islamic organizations, to monitor the
finances of international relief organizations and to react with forceful
economic measures to any small sign of financial aid to any of the three
circles of terrorism. It is also important to act decisively against the campaign
of lies and fabrications and to monitor those Western media who collaborate
with it out of naivety, financial interests or ignorance.
Above all, never surrender to terror. No one will ever know whether the
recent elections in Spain would have yielded a different result, if not for the
train bombings a few days earlier. But it really does not matter. What matters
is that the terrorists believe that they caused the result and that they won
by driving Spain out of Iraq. The Spanish story will surely end up being
extremely costly to other European countries, including France, who is now
expelling inciting preachers and forbidding veils and including others who sent
troops to Iraq. In the long run, Spain itself will pay even more.
Is the solution a democratic Arab world? If by democracy we mean free
elections but also free press, free speech, a functioning judicial system, civil
liberties, equality to women, free international travel, exposure to
international media and ideas, laws against racial incitement and against
defamation, and avoidance of lawless behavior regarding hospitals, places
of worship and children, then yes, democracy is the solution. If democracy is
just free elections, it is likely that the most fanatic regime will be elected, the
one whose incitement and fabrications are the most inflammatory. We have
seen it already in Algeria and, to a certain extent, in Turkey. It will happen
again, if the ground is not prepared very carefully. On the other hand, a
certain transition democracy, as in Jordan, may be a better temporary
solution, paving the way for the real thing, perhaps in the same way that an
immediate sudden democracy did not work in Russia and would not have
worked in China.
I have no doubt that the civilized world will prevail. But the longer it takes us
to understand the new landscape of this war, the more costly and painful the
victory will be. Europe, more than any other region, is the key. Its
understandable recoil from wars, following the horrors of World War II, may
cost thousands of additional innocent lives, before the tide will turn.