Looks like Bush is Ayonae Ro's poll winner. Okay. Starting a game. Who will be president of the United States next year? By how much will he win? The one who names the correct winner (to be confirmed, assuming we don't pull another Florida) and the closest election figures (in electoral college votes) will earn a special title (such as political pundit, freak, prophet, etc).

You have until 9:00 pm PST tonight to post (don't forget about daylight savings). After which time, subsequent posts will be ignored, and the winner announced.

Time is up. Thanks for your participation!


* Prize is not eligible to those already with a title (perhaps I will make an exception if you ask me), especially Buyza who is doomed to have his title for life. If you edit your post, you are automatically disqualified. No exceptions.

You looking for popular vote or electoral?

Electoral Vote, sorry. Not percent, electoral votes.

Kerry 277

Bush wins, with 283 electoral votes.

Bush 289
Kerry 249

Early reasults have Ohio going to Bush; so are Wisconsin and New Mexico. We're going to have to see rural Ohio make a huge swing to Kerry or he's going to have to take Florida.

Nevada *might* come into play as well.

We'll know more in a few hours.

Bush by 27

bush with 280

New Hampsire and Ohio are virtual ties. I'm going to call NH and OH for Kerry based on absentee ballots -- heavy (D) normally -- and give Bush Florida and let him keep Nevada. I think that we'll see the 4 votes in Maine split 2-2 (as they do that there), and we'll see Nebraska split to straight (R). [EDIT: Also, I'll let Bush win all of the four-corners states, even though AZ isn't going to be a landslide. AZ has some polls that have 5 hour lines still, and will be open until midnight.]

Score me for:

Kerry: 277
Bush: 261

Here's an easy toy for the rest of you:
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/vote2004/politics101/politics101_ecmap.html

Remember to split Maine's votes.

Bush 285

Kerry 253

Bush.... 286

Bush will win with a total of: 283
Kerry will lose with a total of: 234

Hrm, Grey and I have the same pick. I stand by mine. I guess we'll have to share if we win.

Also, I guess mine is edited, but it was edited before the deadline to add a comment about AZ. Score me for 277 in this unedited post.

This is a nail biter, but I'm going with Kerry 275, Bush 263.

Cados, your missing 21 Electoral votes, I'm guessing you didn't assign PA to someone.

Fil

Its looking like Kerry is going to take Ohio (Cleveland Toledo and Dayton counties are only at 21% reported and Kerry only down 90,000)
Bush seems to have Florida locked up atm with 90% of votes in at 11pm and Kerry down 300k.

Its really too close to call, but I would give Bush the edge atm with significant leads in New Mexico and Arizona. Minnesota and Wisconson seem to be split and Michigan almost certain to be in Kerry camp.

Man, I dont know.. its fucking close

Bush by armbar.

Don't forget to let us foreigners know who won, then we can take bets as to the first country that will be invaded or saved.

269 to 269

Senate will choose Bush

Rigin

You mean the House :p

Keep dreaming L2; Bush is up 52/48 in Ohio, and Republicans expectations for voter turnout have been overwhelmingly exceeded so far!

House chooses. :)

Fil

Check out the county by county Semedi.
under 50% in the heavy urban and more populous northern counties of Cuyahoga (Cleveland), Lucas (Toledo) and Hamilton (Cincinatti)

Thats the bulk of the population.
Its not dreaming, its political reality

You forgot Summit ( Akron ). Though I admit Franklin isn't as good as I had hoped.

Milwaukee and Dane counties are coming in moving WI up on the Kerry map.

Fil

Bush with 290, and I want the title 'clueless euro' kkthx.

Keep dreaming L2; Bush is up 52/48 in Ohio, and Republicans expectations for voter turnout have been overwhelmingly exceeded so far!Expect high absentee balloting, late college voting (long lines) and rural areas (D) to be the last things counted. Ohio isn't decided.

AP now reporting FLA officially (R). Send in the lawsuits!

Time is up. You have a five minute grace period :)

....damnit. 20 min late. Wasn't able to get on till now. May was well throw it in anyways

Kerry 279
Bush 259

Fox reporting Ohio and Florida to Bush.